Archive for the ‘European Politics’ Category

BREXIT: Why No Deal Is Better Than An Acceptable Deal!

Imagine bringing together 27 of the world’s top religious leaders in a room and telling them they have 2 years to agree on a single religious text that will be unambiguously followed by their believers! Many of the world’s largest religions don’t even have a definitive leader, due to historical factions and chasms that haven’t healed for centuries. The odds of getting any kind of agreement in 24 months will be long, very long, in fact it would be impossible to get them together in a room in the first instance, simply because they would never allow themselves to be put in a position where they will have to renounce their faith, rendering their entire history irrelevant and their power dissolved. Furthermore, who could possibly be the head of this new totalitarian mythology?

Now imagine you are representing Britain’s interests in the on-going Brexit negotiations. The chief negotiator for the EU – Michel Barnier has not only been given his instructions by each of the 27 member states, but also must consider the factions within those states, such as the Walloons, Catalonians, and Sicilians etc. All of whom are demanding he protect their lucrative agriculture, fishing and manufacturing rights. Barnier has said publicly he has “very little scope for flexibility” – even before the talks began.

Getting Nowhere

Put simply, he has none at all. He cannot give any concessions to the UK negotiators – his brief is to ensure the UK does not get any kind of deal that looks to the remaining and vexed member states even slightly considerate, for fear of starting an avalanche of withdrawals from the bloc.

Since June 23rd 2016, there has been nothing substantial talked about by Brussels. When Theresa May became Prime Minister she immediately attempted to put the rights of expat Europeans on the table, only to be told by Merkel and Hollande to wait until the talks begin. Yet when the talks commenced, there was instantly disagreement about the format the negotiations would take. To speed things up David Davies – ill-advisedly – agreed to the EUs schedule of negotiations – which has lead to the current impasse where talks on trade and residency rights can only begin after the Brexit divorce bill is agreed.

So where did the idea of a financial penalty come from? There is nothing in any EU treaty, not even article 50, which remotely implies an exit fee!

Did the EU just conjure it out of thin air? Yes it did and to understand why, we must go back to the shock result of the referendum. Leading up to that historic vote, a “Brexit fee”, or divorce bill was invented by Eurocrats and Project fear – or remoaners as they are now known. Prominent remainers like; George Osborne, Nick Clegg, Branson and panicking supporters of globalism seized on the idea to further their cause and frighten British voters into choosing to stay in the EU. In itself, this imaginary financial penalty was never going to be a referendum winner, but added to the Project Fear armoury of 3 million job losses, punishment budgets and Obama’s threat that Britain would be sent to the back of the queue in UK-US trade deal negations, it did strengthen the remain campaign and undoubtedly influenced some voters to change their minds and vote to stay in the EU.

The second purpose of the mythical divorce bill was to cause delays in what should be easily agreed leaving terms. There is no reason why Britain should not be given a free trade deal with the EU. Chile, Jersey, Egypt, Palestine, South Africa and Turkey along with over 20 other countries around the world have a free trade deal (FTA) with the EU and don’t have to accept open borders in return. Brussels could easily agree a bilateral FTA with the UK today. The UK has offered it already. All our exporters have complied with EU export regulations for more than 40 years, so there is no red tape required. There is no obstacle to be overcome on either side unless; we are simply being made an example of, to discourage other less enthusiastic members of the EU to never offer a referendum to their people.

So, what would be a good deal for the UK? Put simply, a FTA on goods and services with no strings attached regarding free movement of people (open borders) – No jurisdiction in law or sovereignty from the EU over the UK. Continued sharing of intelligence and no fees or payments or subscriptions from either party.

But here we are, discussing a bill that cannot be quantified or justified because it is illegitimate. Proof – if it were needed – that the EU is delaying and sabotaging all efforts for an agreement by putting businesses, people’s lives and jobs in jeopardy while they cast around for an alternative way of winning. Each and every day wasted on these negotiations provides Brussels and the Remain camp with an opportunity to kick a decision further into the long grass in the vain hope the people of Britain will change their minds through weariness and cede power back to federalism and the cosh of unelected bureaucrats in the capsizing EU.

The solution? Simple! Walk away without a deal. Offer the EU a FTA and immediately sign bilateral FTAs with the rest of the world. Under World Trade Organisation rules, no country can impose tariffs or regulations on another if they are not agreed and reciprocated. The EU would have no alternative than to replicate our terms bilaterally. We would pay no divorce settlement and benefit from cheaper goods and services from around the world from day one.

Hard-core remainers spend the vast majority of their time spouting vitriolic abuse at those who chose to leave the EU! Social Media is full of it. Friends unfollowing friends on Facebook, followers blocking followers on Twitter – the divide has become quite nasty, scary even!

No one could have predicted the post Brexit polarisation of Britain. Even diehard politicos have been disturbed by the resulting tribalism following the referendum of 23rd June 2016!

Since that remarkable day, those who voted to remain in the European Union have been found out! From AC Grayling to Gary Linaker, George Osborne to Harriet Harman – Not only have they been unable to name one of the several presidents of the EU, or identify a European Union directive that benefits the UK, but not one of their doomsday predictions has ever come close to being true. The wretched remoaners either cling to the slogan on the red bus, or insist the apocalypse hasn’t happened yet because Britain hasn’t left! Despite the fact all the Armageddon prophecies were supposed to happen the very day after the referendum!

The latest trend adopted by the Europhiles is soft Brexit, in other words, remaining in the EU hoping for a deal that will never be offered, in the vague hope that after a decade or so of procrastination, the British public will just forget about it all and we’ll just stay in by default!

But the horrifying thing is, this could easily happen. The article 50 negotiations are expected to take 2 years before a settlement with the EU is reached. That, my dear readers, is never going to happen!  Brussels has never concluded trade negotiations with another friendly country in 10 years, let alone 2! It must also be emphasised that the EU doesn’t look on the UK as a friendly country. Brussels is determined to punish the UK to deter any other member from contemplating the very idea of leaving the bloc. No former member can be seen to strike a better deal than the remaining member states.

After over 50 years, the European Union has never struck a bilateral trade deal with a major world economy. There are too many vested interests on agricultural policies for France and Spain, whilst German industrial car manufacturing giants won’t allow Japan, China or India a shred of their lucrative markets. Prominent leave voters are only too well aware of this as the Twitter thread below illustrates.

 

Take the BBC article above for example, highlighted by Twitter user @Alichat66 – and commented on by @SirTrevSkint – both I should add, are British expats living in Europe. Despite the misleading headline, not only has a free trade agreement (FTA) with Japan not been agreed, but after five years of stalemate between the two – principally because France, Germany and Italy have vetoed several articles, but the EU was happy to kick any further negotiations into the long grass.

Now comes the shocker! After Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential race, announcing to the world “America First” in essence, following a more inward looking, protectionist trade policy, and shunning the EU by walking away from the anti-American TTIP agreement, Brussels panicked. Britain was leaving the EU and so was the US! Suddenly Brussels needed to show the people of Europe that it was making successful trade deals with the world’s greatest economies. But, as Sir Trev Skint points out, after five years of procrastination and inflexibility towards Japan, suddenly they have become the EUs “new best buddy”!

A further 15 years are required to see through the trade “transition” – Brussels speak for chaotic EU infighting and member state self-serving protectionism! If their past record is anything to go by, the European Union will have excelled themselves to ink a trade deal with Japan within 20 years.

The UK will certainly not achieve anything like a bilateral trade deal with Brussels in 2 years. Better to go straight to the World Trade Organisation now and walk away from these unachievable on-going irreconcilable deliberations.

The United Kingdom can then freely sign bilateral free trade agreements with the US, China, Far East, the Commonwealth, South America and a hundred other dynamic world economies, allowing the diminishing EU member states to either implode, disintegrate or, as is most likely, come begging to us for a no-strings-attached free trade deal.

On Andrew Neil’s The Sunday Politics, Kenneth Clarke was unchallenged when he said “there was no single issue that Britain can identify that needs looking at” – astonishingly Andrew Neil did not offer the old EU sycophant a single item that Breitbart London have identified here;

On Wednesday this week the Conservative Party’s manifesto promise of an In/Out referendum on membership of the EU became Government policy following its formal announcement in the Queen’s Speech. To date opponents of the plan have alleged that the policy is only half-formed as there is no ‘wishlist’ for renegotiation of membership. Today, however, Business for Britain (BfB) published a list of changes which the Prime Minister and other senior Tories have previously demanded.

The list is supported by a “compendium of quotes” collated by BrB in order to verify each policy statement. A supporting video has also been produced.

Being able to check the Prime Minister’s progress against the list of robust reforms provided by BfB will provide a quantifiable measure of the success or failure of his EU talks. Matthew Elliott, Chief Executive of Business for Britain said:

“The idea that there is no plan for an EU renegotiation is patently absurd. The PM and his Government colleagues have been consistent in calling for a robust new deal with the EU which involves bringing powers back from Brussels and securing “proper, full on” Treaty change.”

10 key changes which senior Tories have flagged up have also been proposed by BrB, namely:

  1. An end to ‘ever closer union’
  2. Cut EU red tape for SMEs and start-ups
  3. Return control over social and employment laws
  4. Protect the City and financial services
  5. Protect the UK from Eurozone meddling
  6. Fast-track international trade deals
  7. Cut the EU budget to save taxpayers’ money
  8. Apply UK transparency laws to the EU
  9. Give member states control over migration
  10. Restore Britain’s right to veto EU laws

Other changes BrB notes members of the Government have called for include:

  • Abolish the Common Agricultural Policy
  • Abolish the European Parliament’s second seat in Strasbourg
  • Cut the number of EU institutions
  • Complete the Single Market
  • Reduce EU control over justice and home affairs
  • Withdraw from the Common Fisheries Policy
  • Withdraw from the European Convention on Human Rights

BfB says the reforms it has identified “will be of significant benefit to both British business and the wider competitiveness of the EU” and urges that “with a fresh electoral mandate for the Conservatives, it is vital that these detailed plans to renegotiate Britain’s relationship with the EU are delivered.”

Acknowledging the fact that the Government’s checklist will take time to realise, Elliott counsels caution for those who want to hold the referendum as soon as possible, saying:

“While some will now want to fast-forward to the referendum itself, it is vital that the proper time be given to the renegotiation process to ensure it delivers the changes we need and business wants.”

As the Greeks settle down to watch their newly elected,Syriza-lead, radical left-wing government do battle against Chancellor Merkel and the Troika,

Syriza and Podremos United

Syriza and Podremos United

Spain is positioning itself as an ally against austerity policies imposed from the wealthier Northern European power-houses!

The ultra left-wing party “Podemos”, have held a triumphant demonstration in Madrid, protesting against debt and anti-austerity measures imposed  by the Northern European power-houses.

The People United

The People United

Italy’s leftists are flirting with a similar movement and will almost certainly find themselves drawn in to an axis against the EU!

A Contagion of debt avoidance will surely blow the European Project to pieces over the next couple of years.

Southern Europe is turning red! With Greece electing the far left Syriza Party, we need to look at the next Spanish general election likely to go the

Syriza and Podremos United

Syriza and Podemos United

same way. Spain is in many ways a more resilient economy than Greece, but the people are just as reactionary, suffering a similar dose of austerity dished out by the current Conservative People’s Party (Conservative (ish),  and their public sector equally as bloated. The Westminster Wing predicts a huge surge for the Podemos (We Can) Party! Follow us for the most intuitive updates available from a British Political Blog.

The people get the government they deserve!

 

The Greeks have frequently flirted with Communism in recent 20th century history. They are perceived as a bureaucratic and corrupt nation.

The Greeks simply expect the other person to pay for their socialist lifestyle. Even Greek millionaires were tax-exempt prior to the financial crisis. Bread makers and Taxi Drivers are considered “Artisans” – and can retire on a generous pension before they reach their sixties!

Greek Flirtation with Communism

Greek Flirtation with Communism

Joining the Euro zone must have seemed logical, widening their highly subsidised dependencies across 27 wealthier nations. The Germans,  French and English would happily underwrite their profligacy.

So when the world’s economy imploded, their assumed dream of offloading their deficit became their nightmare. The troika, dominated by Frau Merkel forced a new policy on the Greeks “austerity”!

It hasn’t gone down well. Full of righteousness indignation the far left Syriza Party have roused the bloated public sector blob into a revolution. Tomorrow (Sunday 25th January 2015) will produce a Greek government headed by yet another “something for nothing” regime. Syriza will demand those Euro Zone nations who have paid the Greeks wage bill for 3 years now renegotiate,  or, as expected,  wipe out the debt.  This is yet another example of Socialism in action!

A Greek exit (Grexit) from the Euro Zone is anticipated over the next few months. What lies in store for the Greek people is uncertain. It won’t be pleasant or easy, but we can be certain Spain, Italy and Portugal will be watching with interest.

We shall update this story with exit polls and the eventual result as it happens.

UPDATE: