Archive for the ‘Conservative Party’ Category

BREXIT: Why No Deal Is Better Than An Acceptable Deal!

Imagine bringing together 27 of the world’s top religious leaders in a room and telling them they have 2 years to agree on a single religious text that will be unambiguously followed by their believers! Many of the world’s largest religions don’t even have a definitive leader, due to historical factions and chasms that haven’t healed for centuries. The odds of getting any kind of agreement in 24 months will be long, very long, in fact it would be impossible to get them together in a room in the first instance, simply because they would never allow themselves to be put in a position where they will have to renounce their faith, rendering their entire history irrelevant and their power dissolved. Furthermore, who could possibly be the head of this new totalitarian mythology?

Now imagine you are representing Britain’s interests in the on-going Brexit negotiations. The chief negotiator for the EU – Michel Barnier has not only been given his instructions by each of the 27 member states, but also must consider the factions within those states, such as the Walloons, Catalonians, and Sicilians etc. All of whom are demanding he protect their lucrative agriculture, fishing and manufacturing rights. Barnier has said publicly he has “very little scope for flexibility” – even before the talks began.

Getting Nowhere

Put simply, he has none at all. He cannot give any concessions to the UK negotiators – his brief is to ensure the UK does not get any kind of deal that looks to the remaining and vexed member states even slightly considerate, for fear of starting an avalanche of withdrawals from the bloc.

Since June 23rd 2016, there has been nothing substantial talked about by Brussels. When Theresa May became Prime Minister she immediately attempted to put the rights of expat Europeans on the table, only to be told by Merkel and Hollande to wait until the talks begin. Yet when the talks commenced, there was instantly disagreement about the format the negotiations would take. To speed things up David Davies – ill-advisedly – agreed to the EUs schedule of negotiations – which has lead to the current impasse where talks on trade and residency rights can only begin after the Brexit divorce bill is agreed.

So where did the idea of a financial penalty come from? There is nothing in any EU treaty, not even article 50, which remotely implies an exit fee!

Did the EU just conjure it out of thin air? Yes it did and to understand why, we must go back to the shock result of the referendum. Leading up to that historic vote, a “Brexit fee”, or divorce bill was invented by Eurocrats and Project fear – or remoaners as they are now known. Prominent remainers like; George Osborne, Nick Clegg, Branson and panicking supporters of globalism seized on the idea to further their cause and frighten British voters into choosing to stay in the EU. In itself, this imaginary financial penalty was never going to be a referendum winner, but added to the Project Fear armoury of 3 million job losses, punishment budgets and Obama’s threat that Britain would be sent to the back of the queue in UK-US trade deal negations, it did strengthen the remain campaign and undoubtedly influenced some voters to change their minds and vote to stay in the EU.

The second purpose of the mythical divorce bill was to cause delays in what should be easily agreed leaving terms. There is no reason why Britain should not be given a free trade deal with the EU. Chile, Jersey, Egypt, Palestine, South Africa and Turkey along with over 20 other countries around the world have a free trade deal (FTA) with the EU and don’t have to accept open borders in return. Brussels could easily agree a bilateral FTA with the UK today. The UK has offered it already. All our exporters have complied with EU export regulations for more than 40 years, so there is no red tape required. There is no obstacle to be overcome on either side unless; we are simply being made an example of, to discourage other less enthusiastic members of the EU to never offer a referendum to their people.

So, what would be a good deal for the UK? Put simply, a FTA on goods and services with no strings attached regarding free movement of people (open borders) – No jurisdiction in law or sovereignty from the EU over the UK. Continued sharing of intelligence and no fees or payments or subscriptions from either party.

But here we are, discussing a bill that cannot be quantified or justified because it is illegitimate. Proof – if it were needed – that the EU is delaying and sabotaging all efforts for an agreement by putting businesses, people’s lives and jobs in jeopardy while they cast around for an alternative way of winning. Each and every day wasted on these negotiations provides Brussels and the Remain camp with an opportunity to kick a decision further into the long grass in the vain hope the people of Britain will change their minds through weariness and cede power back to federalism and the cosh of unelected bureaucrats in the capsizing EU.

The solution? Simple! Walk away without a deal. Offer the EU a FTA and immediately sign bilateral FTAs with the rest of the world. Under World Trade Organisation rules, no country can impose tariffs or regulations on another if they are not agreed and reciprocated. The EU would have no alternative than to replicate our terms bilaterally. We would pay no divorce settlement and benefit from cheaper goods and services from around the world from day one.

Brexit is dead! She lived for 13 months and one day. Murdered in her infancy by bumbling practitioners of Liberal Conservatism.

RIP Brexit

Team Brexit was never going to work. Too many passionate remain supporters in Theresa May’s cabinet and Whitehall were always going to kill the newborn baby Brexit. They didn’t expect her to be born at all. They had no plan therefore to keep her alive. Yes a few wise men came to revere her, Davies, Fox and Boris. But they were also surprised at the immaculate conception. Her mother “UKIP” had showed no signs of gestation, it was considered by the media as a phantom pregnancy.

But we now know that her life support has been switched off. There will be a slow transition into the afterlife, we’re told sometime between 2022 and 2027. That’s how long it will take for her mourners – 17.4 million of them – to either die themselves, or simply move on to another cause. At least that’s what the government is hoping for. The wise men have accepted the transition into the next parliament in 2022, by which time further procrastination and clueless maneuvering will see us through to the end of that term in 2027. That’s always assuming the Conservative party win

Sir Jacob of Somerset

in 2022!

There is a slim chance a crusader knight will revive the unfortunate Brexit child, Sir Jacob of Somerset is his name, he has many non believers to slay and will need divine intervention if he’s to prevail.

 

In recent weeks The Westminster Wing has been trawling through various forms of social media to gauge the public mood on the current progress of Brexit negotiations between the government and the EU. We were not surprised to find such high levels dissatisfaction with not only both teams of negotiators, but also the broadcast and printed

Brexit’s most iconic image

media’s standard of reportage.

What did surprise us though was the volume of leave supporters calling for some kind of positive action, protests and even a desire to bring the country to a standstill with blockades similar to the fuel protest in 2000.

Though protests are a favourite strategy for the far-left, particularly prevalent since Corbyn became Labour leader, they are a rarity on the right.

There are many explanations as to why right of centre supporters and activists don’t do mass public protests, many are obvious and a few are not so obvious!

Political protesting by “socialists” has existed for centuries, long before the word even existed. Usually inspired by terrible working practices imposed by mill, mine or factory owners, or chronic housing conditions. Workers became organised through trade unions leading to the formation of the Labour party. Encouraged by historical victories, socialists have never forgotten the power of protest.

Socialists like a protest

Those early marches and protests throughout the 18th and 19th centuries, some of them violent, were just and necessary, few would argue otherwise. Those times were tough and there was little else those affected could do without a voice in parliament.

But today’s left wing protesters have forgotten a very important component of popular protest: “just cause”! Demonstrating against a visit by an American President or in protest of a page depicting topless models can hardly be seen as a class struggle! Modern socialists are largely comprised of middle class students, well paid public sector professionals or supporters of Middle East terrorism. They are as far away from their original cause as it is possible to get.

The left still possess the ability to muster large numbers of protesters on the streets through their well-funded unions and affiliated groups. Bussing hundreds, sometimes thousands of people around the country complete with sponsored “Unite the Union” placards and £25 cash in hand to buy a Starbucks coffee or a Pret a Manger falafel sandwich whilst uploading images of the events on their latest iPhone is a common occurrence should their dear leader deem it necessary.

Comprised mostly of under worked students, strikers and the unemployed, it’s unlikely they will pass on the call to march due to heavy work commitments at the office! And this brings us neatly to the near non-existent will to protest by those on the right of centre politics.

With little or no history in organising mass demonstrations, chiefly because of a lack of cause, organisational machinery and work or family commitments, the likelihood of witnessing a demonstration by Tory supporting members of the public is lower than finding a pulled pork sandwich in Finsbury Park Mosque! Ordinary Tory supporters simply have better things to do with their time and view those who do public outrage on the streets as “not our sort of people”! Rightly or wrongly this is the current state of affairs.

Given the above brief summary of the history of popular protest, it would be a mistake to assume it is solely supporters on the right that are exhibiting growing unrest with Theresa May’s Brexit divorce proceedings. Our analysis of 51 social media groups, comprising some 400, 000 members and contributors reveals a very eclectic mix of socioeconomic groups, race and genders displaying a desire for open revolt against the government’s lack of assertiveness with the EU and increasing anger at the suggestion of a protracted transition to the exit door.

Our analysis leads us to believe a substantial segment of leave supporters are close to tipping point! These groups are repositories for frustrated, disgruntled, mostly ordinary citizens who feel their concerns and views are being ignored by the media and politicians, they are a disenfranchised majority, not dissimilar to those voiceless souls of the 18th and 19th centuries and are not too far away from organising a collective protest of significant proportions.

Any government that ignores these people is destined to experience the wrath of mass dissatisfaction and with it, the political disruption many insensitive administrations faced over the last 200 years.

Throughout the House of Commons, Jacob Rees-Mogg is waggishly referred to, by his contemporary colleagues – and even by his own party as – “The member for the early twentieth century”.

Invectives, no matter how humorous or cutting, often turn out to be quite accurate! Mr Rees-Mogg is not only a politician who would harmonise perfectly with the governments of Baldwin and Balfour, but probably Disraeli too!

Rees-Mogg seemingly has no affinity with modern political figures, nor should he seek to! He’s his own man, an anomaly in 21st century British politics.

Always at ease

In today’s heavily scrutinised world of envy and class division, he is regarded as a privileged toff, an elite! A throwback to the black and white days of oppression and servitude. We are meant to be, not only tolerant of brash northern MPs, or cockney ex union reps, but positively grateful for them. Many politicians on the left try to hide their Oxbridge, grammar school accents by dropping their Ts and Hs. So that the word “university” becomes “universi’ y”! Those who practice these “glottal- stops” as they are officially called, seem either ashamed of speaking correctly, or afraid to give away their secret of a good upbringing and education,  in case their working class constituents decide not to vote for them. I personally think it’s the latter.

The Conservative Party on the other hand still have a fairly large contingent of well spoken, privileged members in the House of Commons. Some tone down their posh accents, but most behave according to their standard of upbringing. They’re not too ashamed to speak correctly in other words.

Speaking with a superior accent is by no means all that is required to appear upper crust and dashing. Throughout the 18th, 19th and early twentieth century satirists have mocked the aristocracy for their ritzy accents, naive views and snobbish silliness. The archetypal Jeeves and Wooster characters are a typical example. Ridiculed, derided and cruelly targeted by their less privileged cynics, who instinctively know there will be little or no empathy for their victims.

Which brings us to Jacob Rees-Mogg and the growing cult of centre-right supporters he is amassing. The media – and to be honest – those who are in the business of political whataboutery, are at a loss to explain it. How has this junior member for North East Somerset who has never held even the lowest level of office suddenly become the darling of the Tory grassroots movement? Even the young are joining the cult of JRM veneration,  or Moggmentum as it’s frequently called.

My attention was first drawn to JRM immediately after the 2010 general election. He was part of the new intake that contributed to David Cameron’s victory and subsequent coalition with the Lib Dems. He was just 18 days short of his 41st birthday. From the outset, the new member for NE Somerset was an outspoken critic of Cameron’s coalition. Rees-Mogg was no admirer of the socially liberal Cameron, who would have been classed as the wettest of wets in Margaret Thatcher’s time. Despite going to Eton and Oxford (within 3 years of each other) their educational outcomes were antithetical.

Though giving the appearance of a traditional, grey-suited Tory, Rees-Mogg is nothing of the sort. He possesses a rebellious streak that reflects the mood of the country. Constitutionally there is no more learned member of the house. A passionate historian, Rees-Mogg is always on hand to inform his peers of their inaccuracies or relate a distant anecdote to a current political situation. He delivers oratory with ease and conviction, often spiced with good humour and hugely appreciated by all sides of the house.

On analysing Rees-Moggs past performances, both in the house and on TV, it is without doubt, this swift and stupefying blow delivered –  deservingly – to David Dimbleby on an episode of BBC Question Time a couple of years ago that endeared him – not only to Tory supporters but also to the general public. The audience reaction was collective and appreciative and rarely does that happen in support of a politician. Dimbleby’s embarrassed chuckling was all the proof, if needed that Jacob Rees-Mogg is not to be messed with.

As the disastrous results of the 2017 general election came in on the 8th May – sending the Tories into a tailspin – all thoughts turned to a new leader. The usual big beasts were thrust forward, Boris, Davies, Hammond Fox… the list was continually updated and analysed by the media. Prospective candidates were uncertain whether to go on manoeuvres or modestly protest their support for their fumbling leader Theresa May.

The government had been dealt a near fatal blow! The Tory core vote had held firm, in fact it showed a modest increase. The swing to Labour in certain areas was unfathomable, and has recently been attributed to the unexpectedly large turnout of younger voters, mainly students, who not only bothered to get out of bed for the first time in electoral history,  but in many thousands of cases did so more than once!  (The electoral commission and police are looking into this as I write).

In the uncomfortable weeks since the last election the Tory party machine has rallied -mostly unconvincingly – around their lame-duck leader. The country is yet again divided into three, with Corbyn supporters demanding another election – encouraged by their lead in the polls, moderate Labour who dread the very idea of a Corbyn premiership, and a weak Conservative government who are fearful that the youth vote would actually increase and

Vote early vote often

deliver them the mortal blow!

For now at least, despite the mischievous left-leaning media, there is little appetite for a leadership contest, let alone another general election.

Right now, the cabinet is behaving like a bunch of reluctant guests in the drawing room of a country hotel at the beginning of a murder mystery weekend, not knowing if their next move will expose them as the protagonist, victim or the detective! No! Let’s make that a theatrical production with an audience of Tory activists and supporters.

Now just imagine Jacob Rees-Mogg entering that drawing room from stage right! His demeanour one of calm, collected authority, eyeing the assembled, shifty cabinet with disdain and suspicion. Pulling a cigarette case from the inside pocket of his dinner jacket and tapping his chosen smoke against the lid, he begins to question the sweating assortment of delinquents.

You can imagine it can’t you!! Rees-Mogg is that authority figure. He is more than capable of establishing himself as the authority in the company of any individuals from Brussels, to the House of Commons or any TV studio in the land. He possesses the gravitas, intellect and conviction.

Returning to our theatre audience of Tory grassroots, they would lap up the masterful performance of Detective Inspector Mogg. But what if that audience were made up of the general public, or ordinary voters as we should call them? Would he be seen as the convincing, trusty policeman or a posh oppressor?

Hard-core remainers spend the vast majority of their time spouting vitriolic abuse at those who chose to leave the EU! Social Media is full of it. Friends unfollowing friends on Facebook, followers blocking followers on Twitter – the divide has become quite nasty, scary even!

No one could have predicted the post Brexit polarisation of Britain. Even diehard politicos have been disturbed by the resulting tribalism following the referendum of 23rd June 2016!

Since that remarkable day, those who voted to remain in the European Union have been found out! From AC Grayling to Gary Linaker, George Osborne to Harriet Harman – Not only have they been unable to name one of the several presidents of the EU, or identify a European Union directive that benefits the UK, but not one of their doomsday predictions has ever come close to being true. The wretched remoaners either cling to the slogan on the red bus, or insist the apocalypse hasn’t happened yet because Britain hasn’t left! Despite the fact all the Armageddon prophecies were supposed to happen the very day after the referendum!

The latest trend adopted by the Europhiles is soft Brexit, in other words, remaining in the EU hoping for a deal that will never be offered, in the vague hope that after a decade or so of procrastination, the British public will just forget about it all and we’ll just stay in by default!

But the horrifying thing is, this could easily happen. The article 50 negotiations are expected to take 2 years before a settlement with the EU is reached. That, my dear readers, is never going to happen!  Brussels has never concluded trade negotiations with another friendly country in 10 years, let alone 2! It must also be emphasised that the EU doesn’t look on the UK as a friendly country. Brussels is determined to punish the UK to deter any other member from contemplating the very idea of leaving the bloc. No former member can be seen to strike a better deal than the remaining member states.

After over 50 years, the European Union has never struck a bilateral trade deal with a major world economy. There are too many vested interests on agricultural policies for France and Spain, whilst German industrial car manufacturing giants won’t allow Japan, China or India a shred of their lucrative markets. Prominent leave voters are only too well aware of this as the Twitter thread below illustrates.

 

Take the BBC article above for example, highlighted by Twitter user @Alichat66 – and commented on by @SirTrevSkint – both I should add, are British expats living in Europe. Despite the misleading headline, not only has a free trade agreement (FTA) with Japan not been agreed, but after five years of stalemate between the two – principally because France, Germany and Italy have vetoed several articles, but the EU was happy to kick any further negotiations into the long grass.

Now comes the shocker! After Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential race, announcing to the world “America First” in essence, following a more inward looking, protectionist trade policy, and shunning the EU by walking away from the anti-American TTIP agreement, Brussels panicked. Britain was leaving the EU and so was the US! Suddenly Brussels needed to show the people of Europe that it was making successful trade deals with the world’s greatest economies. But, as Sir Trev Skint points out, after five years of procrastination and inflexibility towards Japan, suddenly they have become the EUs “new best buddy”!

A further 15 years are required to see through the trade “transition” – Brussels speak for chaotic EU infighting and member state self-serving protectionism! If their past record is anything to go by, the European Union will have excelled themselves to ink a trade deal with Japan within 20 years.

The UK will certainly not achieve anything like a bilateral trade deal with Brussels in 2 years. Better to go straight to the World Trade Organisation now and walk away from these unachievable on-going irreconcilable deliberations.

The United Kingdom can then freely sign bilateral free trade agreements with the US, China, Far East, the Commonwealth, South America and a hundred other dynamic world economies, allowing the diminishing EU member states to either implode, disintegrate or, as is most likely, come begging to us for a no-strings-attached free trade deal.

The staff at Westminster Wing wholeheartedly urge our readers to vote Conservative for security, the economy and Brexit closure.

 

 

Chancellor George Osborne Set To Turbo-Charge Government Spending Cuts!

Set free of the shackles and restraints placed on him by their Liberal Democrat partners in the last coalition government, Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne is acting like a caged Canary that suddenly finds the door left wide-open after 5 years of captivity!

A recent Guardian Article  asserts that Osborne is about to bring forward an extra 13bn pounds of departmental savings in addition to the 12bn welfare cuts that were promised but never detailed in the run-up to the 2015 General Election.

These welfare cuts are seriously needed if he is to reduce the deficit to zero before the 2020 election. What’s more, and to be fair to Osborne, the general public were not only informed of these impending cuts to welfare, but they also actually voted for them!

George Osborne means business

George Osborne means business

We have been promised a budget surplus by 2019 and he has to make inroads into the 90bn pound structural deficit as soon as possible. However this extra 13 billion pounds savings plan, to be implemented across all non-ring-fenced departments, has been brought forward and will begin in earnest.

Clearly the left wing parties will be outraged, they are all anti-austerity for various reasons, but mainly for their own self-interest – cutting civil servants and in some cases whole departments deprives the civil service unions of valuable members and subscriptions. But for the general public it means having to pay less income tax of which large chunks go toward paying interest on our national debts of over 1.5 trillion pounds. In their defence, the left argue that the interest charges on that borrowed money is such a low percentage – due to cheap money and Quantitative Easing – it would be better to fund those civil servants and many other projects. But Osborne knows that low-interest rates cannot last forever, he is fixing the roof whilst the sun is shining – we cannot be certain that another crash will not happen in the next 5 years, stock markets are over inflated, cheap money is helping the big corporations to buy back their shares, creating a bubble in share values – Osborne talks often about his “Long-Term Economic Plan” – but it isn’t just rhetoric – he really does have one and these significant cuts are the proof.

In my next article I shall detail George’s alternative plan to wipe-out the deficit and a third of the national debt in one swift sleight of the hand *intriguing yes?